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Red300
6467116.7
6420132.3
2410156.1
Blue134
4054110.7
6630139.9
637997.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361260100200300400500300134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.12.7
144.2146.8
Auto21.7
Teleop112.6
End23.2
red by 16.2
6630
#34
139.92.3
139.0141.3
Auto18.2
Teleop104.3
End15.5
Second
6420
#11
132.31.6
127.4129.0
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End19.1
red by 21.5
4054
#32
110.70.1
114.5114.4
Auto15.8
Teleop85.0
End10.5
Third
6467
#14
116.72.3
112.7114.9
Auto16.6
Teleop90.1
End9.7
red by 19.4
6379
#48
97.31.4
97.098.4
Auto13.7
Teleop80.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed