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Qual 802018 Iowa Regional
Red352
6467116.7
4646147.6
1156162.3
Blue205
6320104.5
5837126.7
3206141.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359270100200300400500352205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#13
162.30.0
159.7→159.7
Auto20.5
Teleop122.8
End18.4
red by 21.3
3206
#28
141.04.2
135.1→139.3
Auto17.1
Teleop108.6
End15.8
Second
4646
#12
147.62.1
143.0→145.1
Auto20.1
Teleop112.9
End14.5
red by 20.9
5837
#56
126.72.4
123.6→126.0
Auto13.8
Teleop95.3
End17.6
Third
6467
#14
116.70.7
114.9→115.7
Auto16.6
Teleop90.1
End9.7
red by 12.2
6320
#53
104.50.5
104.5→105.0
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed