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Red321
287486.9
6164120.7
2987162.3
Blue247
525188.4
6950111.0
1985115.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253590100300400500600321247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#18
162.30.2
161.3161.5
Auto18.3
Teleop120.1
End25.0
blue by 26.1
525
#6
188.41.4
184.9186.3
Auto23.3
Teleop140.7
End25.1
Second
6164
#29
120.70.8
121.5120.7
Auto14.7
Teleop91.8
End12.9
red by 5.6
1985
#50
115.10.5
115.6115.1
Auto12.5
Teleop91.1
End10.2
Third
2874
#15
86.91.0
84.285.2
Auto14.9
Teleop64.4
End8.4
blue by 24.1
6950
#40
111.00.0
111.4111.3
Auto13.9
Teleop90.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed