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Red213
6371114.9
6420132.3
6320104.5
Blue393
3928162.4
4021109.3
287486.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2743090100200400500600700213393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6420
#11
132.31.6
130.0131.6
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End19.1
blue by 30.1
162.40.8
157.8158.6
Auto22.2
Teleop121.4
End18.3
Second
6371
#55
114.91.5
113.5114.9
Auto14.2
Teleop83.4
End19.7
red by 5.6
4021
#35
109.30.3
109.0109.3
Auto16.3
Teleop82.0
End12.7
Third
6320
#53
104.50.5
105.0104.5
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End7.8
red by 17.5
2874
#15
86.91.8
85.286.9
Auto14.9
Teleop64.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed