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Qual 902018 Iowa Regional
Red173
7141102.6
5837126.7
967130.7
Blue423
4260116.7
6391138.7
2410156.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693690100200300400500600173423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#21
130.72.0
128.8→130.7
Auto15.6
Teleop97.5
End19.4
blue by 25.4
2410
#1
156.13.1
148.7→151.8
Auto21.7
Teleop112.6
End23.2
Second
5837
#56
126.70.7
126.0→126.7
Auto13.8
Teleop95.3
End17.6
blue by 12.0
6391
#27
138.70.0
138.6→138.7
Auto17.0
Teleop106.3
End15.8
Third
7141
#61
102.60.8
103.4→102.6
Auto13.5
Teleop79.5
End6.0
blue by 14.2
4260
#45
116.70.6
116.2→116.7
Auto14.2
Teleop87.0
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed