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Semifinal 2-12018 Iowa Regional
Red313
525188.4
3928162.4
5914118.5
Blue420
2526154.3
4818149.4
5690155.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36334301,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000313420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#6
188.40.2
187.7→187.9
Auto23.3
Teleop140.7
End25.1
red by 33.3
5690
#22
155.10.3
154.2→154.5
Auto18.1
Teleop114.0
End20.9
Second
3928
#2
162.40.6
160.2→160.8
Auto22.2
Teleop121.4
End18.3
red by 8.1
2526
#16
154.30.5
153.3→153.8
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End22.2
Third
5914
#46
118.50.5
116.5→117.0
Auto16.1
Teleop87.7
End16.0
blue by 30.9
4818
#3
149.41.0
146.7→147.7
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End18.7