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Red465
1619217.4
2122195.3
3145143.8
Blue101
2130164.3
3239154.9
3288111.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446248100200300400500600465101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217.40.6
218.0217.4
Auto24.0
Teleop152.8
End35.0
red by 53.1
164.30.4
163.9164.3
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
Second
195.30.0
195.3195.3
Auto24.4
Teleop142.1
End27.9
red by 40.4
154.90.3
154.6154.9
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
Third
3145
#25
143.80.1
143.9143.8
Auto19.6
Teleop106.2
End15.3
red by 31.9
3288
#27
111.90.2
112.1111.9
Auto15.2
Teleop80.8
End13.6