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Qual 112018 Idaho Regional
Red227
3128173.0
2594132.3
7301110.3
Blue228
3513122.0
3239154.9
4643118.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325279100200400500600227228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#5
173.02.5
152.8→155.3
Auto19.7
Teleop124.2
End29.1
red by 18.1
3239
#4
154.92.5
136.8→139.3
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
Second
2594
#16
132.31.0
124.7→125.6
Auto16.6
Teleop100.8
End16.2
red by 10.3
3513
#26
122.013.0
86.9→99.9
Auto16.1
Teleop88.9
End18.6
Third
7301
#28
110.313.1
77.7→90.8
Auto15.8
Teleop80.9
End10.9
blue by 8.1
4643
#22
118.41.5
128.2→126.7
Auto18.5
Teleop85.2
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed