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Qual 272018 Idaho Regional
Red441
4175132.8
3598140.0
3230181.4
Blue202
3239154.9
5461126.9
668090.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361240100200300400500600441202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#3
181.42.6
166.5→169.0
Auto21.9
Teleop134.7
End19.7
red by 26.5
3239
#4
154.91.6
140.9→142.5
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
Second
3598
#13
140.01.0
127.4→128.4
Auto20.2
Teleop108.3
End12.0
red by 13.0
5461
#17
126.90.1
122.6→122.5
Auto18.3
Teleop91.1
End22.3
Third
4175
#10
132.84.8
106.4→111.3
Auto16.8
Teleop99.8
End19.3
red by 42.6
6680
#39
90.31.2
98.8→97.6
Auto12.9
Teleop66.3
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed