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Qual 412018 Idaho Regional
Red391
5430104.0
1619217.4
3598140.0
Blue283
2102148.1
3562111.1
115159.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356310100200400500600391283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#2
217.40.1
222.2→222.3
Auto24.0
Teleop152.8
End35.0
red by 58.3
115
#11
159.10.7
154.9→155.5
Auto18.7
Teleop121.2
End20.4
Second
3598
#13
140.02.0
130.1→132.0
Auto20.2
Teleop108.3
End12.0
blue by 8.1
2102
#19
148.10.0
150.4→150.4
Auto21.5
Teleop107.3
End19.9
Third
5430
#36
104.00.4
101.7→102.1
Auto13.8
Teleop82.1
End12.1
blue by 7.1
3562
#31
111.10.7
114.4→115.1
Auto15.3
Teleop89.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
56%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed