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Qual 482018 Idaho Regional
Red363
4944170.5
3288111.9
3239154.9
Blue262
6358148.6
1983161.5
5430104.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346304100200400500600363262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#12
170.50.2
172.4→172.1
Auto23.3
Teleop128.3
End15.8
red by 9.0
1983
#6
161.50.1
157.9→158.0
Auto16.0
Teleop128.3
End20.3
Second
3239
#4
154.91.4
144.1→145.5
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
red by 6.3
6358
#33
148.61.1
146.7→147.7
Auto17.5
Teleop110.1
End18.5
Third
3288
#27
111.91.3
109.0→110.3
Auto15.2
Teleop80.8
End13.6
red by 7.9
5430
#36
104.01.1
102.1→103.2
Auto13.8
Teleop82.1
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed