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Red407
5461126.9
3256157.1
3006103.3
Blue215
5630115.0
2130164.3
1569136.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265354100200300400500600700407215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.11.1
152.8153.9
Auto21.8
Teleop124.9
End9.0
blue by 7.1
164.35.0
148.8153.9
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
Second
5461
#17
126.90.4
122.2122.6
Auto18.3
Teleop91.1
End22.3
blue by 9.2
1569
#20
136.10.8
141.0140.3
Auto18.0
Teleop101.8
End16.7
Third
3006
#23
103.30.6
102.3101.8
Auto17.3
Teleop83.1
End6.1
blue by 11.7
5630
#37
115.00.8
118.0118.8
Auto15.7
Teleop84.2
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed