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Red317
1891136.3
4175132.8
2102148.1
Blue295
4135136.4
7301110.3
2130164.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3203320200400600800317295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#19
148.10.9
150.4149.5
Auto21.5
Teleop107.3
End19.9
blue by 16.2
164.31.9
153.9155.7
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
Second
1891
#15
136.31.9
131.9133.8
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
blue by 0.2
4135
#21
136.40.3
138.3138.1
Auto22.5
Teleop98.0
End14.8
Third
4175
#10
132.83.0
124.4127.4
Auto16.8
Teleop99.8
End19.3
red by 22.5
7301
#28
110.31.3
107.7109.1
Auto15.8
Teleop80.9
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed