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Red257
1569136.1
3006103.3
3239154.9
Blue350
115159.1
5871105.8
4944170.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823530100200400500600257350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.91.5
145.5146.9
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
blue by 15.6
4944
#12
170.50.2
172.1172.3
Auto23.3
Teleop128.3
End15.8
Second
1569
#20
136.11.8
140.3138.4
Auto18.0
Teleop101.8
End16.7
blue by 23.0
115
#11
159.10.8
156.0156.8
Auto18.7
Teleop121.2
End20.4
Third
3006
#23
103.30.4
101.8102.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.1
End6.1
blue by 2.5
5871
#38
105.81.8
109.2107.5
Auto15.1
Teleop79.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed