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Qual 602018 Idaho Regional
Red355
3230181.4
3128173.0
1566102.4
Blue214
3256157.1
7301110.3
6358148.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387274100200500600700355214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#3
181.41.5
179.5→181.0
Auto21.9
Teleop134.7
End19.7
red by 24.3
3256
#7
157.10.9
155.8→156.7
Auto21.8
Teleop124.9
End9.0
Second
3128
#5
173.01.9
167.3→169.2
Auto19.7
Teleop124.2
End29.1
red by 24.4
6358
#33
148.60.5
148.4→148.9
Auto17.5
Teleop110.1
End18.5
Third
1566
#34
102.40.9
99.3→100.2
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End10.9
blue by 7.9
7301
#28
110.31.4
109.1→110.5
Auto15.8
Teleop80.9
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed