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Red238
1619217.4
3245128.3
4944170.5
Blue383
3239154.9
3598140.0
5496150.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242950100200500600700238383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217.40.2
223.6223.4
Auto24.0
Teleop152.8
End35.0
red by 62.5
154.91.3
146.9148.2
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
Second
4944
#12
170.50.4
172.3172.7
Auto23.3
Teleop128.3
End15.8
red by 20.6
150.01.5
145.2146.6
Auto14.7
Teleop111.9
End25.6
Third
3245
#24
128.30.1
131.5131.5
Auto20.4
Teleop96.8
End9.3
blue by 11.7
3598
#13
140.01.4
135.8137.3
Auto20.2
Teleop108.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsMissed73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
74%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed