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Red344
2451193.5
16201.2
6823148.8
Blue315
1706173.5
578162.5
5822140.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4143010100200500600700344315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
201.20.2
201.0201.2
Auto26.6
Teleop141.5
End32.1
red by 27.7
173.50.6
172.9173.5
Auto23.6
Teleop133.0
End16.3
Second
2451
#10
193.50.2
193.7193.5
Auto20.5
Teleop151.7
End19.1
red by 30.9
578
#2
162.50.4
162.1162.5
Auto19.8
Teleop122.6
End19.4
Third
6823
#21
148.80.1
148.9148.8
Auto17.9
Teleop115.5
End14.0
red by 8.9
5822
#29
140.00.1
139.9140.0
Auto19.4
Teleop103.7
End15.7