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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Midwest Regional
Red353
4213168.9
2338178.0
2010114.4
Blue298
341172.5
2040149.4
5934126.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358366200250300400450500550600353298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#4
178.00.1
177.9→178.0
Auto25.3
Teleop122.7
End29.8
red by 5.6
341
#8
172.50.1
172.9→172.8
Auto22.2
Teleop126.9
End25.9
Second
4213
#6
168.90.6
167.8→168.4
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End24.6
red by 19.5
2040
#5
149.40.7
146.9→147.6
Auto20.3
Teleop111.5
End20.3
Third
2010
#32
114.40.3
113.9→114.2
Auto17.9
Teleop84.0
End12.8
blue by 11.6
5934
#16
126.00.7
123.9→124.5
Auto16.8
Teleop95.5
End15.7