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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Midwest Regional
Red442
111168.4
269172.3
1781126.9
Blue106
6991130.1
6803173.3
6487122.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398264100200300500600700442106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
#3
172.30.7
169.7→170.4
Auto21.3
Teleop128.9
End22.3
blue by 1.0
6803
#11
173.30.1
173.6→173.5
Auto20.2
Teleop130.1
End21.5
Second
111
#9
168.40.4
167.1→167.5
Auto19.3
Teleop130.9
End17.0
red by 38.3
6991
#22
130.10.0
130.1→130.2
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
Third
1781
#40
126.90.4
125.6→126.0
Auto16.9
Teleop95.3
End14.0
red by 4.9
6487
#38
122.00.2
122.5→122.3
Auto16.9
Teleop91.3
End14.3