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Qual 122018 Midwest Regional
Red124
677134.5
3695173.1
3110101.2
Blue340
3061131.0
5041111.9
1706173.5
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340306100200400500600700124340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#13
173.11.7
162.3→164.1
Auto20.5
Teleop126.4
End27.4
blue by 0.4
1706
#7
173.52.2
148.8→151.1
Auto23.6
Teleop133.0
End16.3
Second
677
#31
134.52.9
133.9→136.8
Auto20.2
Teleop96.9
End20.7
red by 3.5
3061
#37
131.00.4
138.9→138.5
Auto19.2
Teleop98.3
End10.4
Third
3110
#46
101.210.2
77.5→87.7
Auto14.6
Teleop78.5
End11.9
blue by 10.7
5041
#42
111.91.3
108.7→110.0
Auto15.9
Teleop83.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed