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Qual 302018 Midwest Regional
Red337
4241125.8
5041111.9
3488128.0
Blue115
3734112.3
2358122.4
2709114.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832770100200400500600337115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3488
#25
128.05.6
110.4→116.0
Auto15.2
Teleop99.5
End16.9
red by 5.5
2358
#28
122.40.1
131.5→131.3
Auto18.3
Teleop96.4
End4.1
Second
4241
#12
125.80.6
123.7→123.2
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End13.8
red by 11.6
2709
#53
114.24.4
101.0→105.4
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End12.1
Third
5041
#42
111.90.3
111.0→110.8
Auto15.9
Teleop83.9
End14.1
blue by 0.4
3734
#47
112.33.3
99.4→102.7
Auto13.7
Teleop88.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed