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Qual 352018 Midwest Regional
Red297
578162.5
3695173.1
4787128.2
Blue337
2040149.4
269172.3
5934126.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360322150200250300400450500550297337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#13
173.11.0
164.3→165.3
Auto20.5
Teleop126.4
End27.4
red by 0.8
269
#3
172.32.8
153.7→156.5
Auto21.3
Teleop128.9
End22.3
Second
578
#2
162.51.7
149.3→151.0
Auto19.8
Teleop122.6
End19.4
red by 13.2
2040
#5
149.40.2
141.8→142.0
Auto20.3
Teleop111.5
End20.3
Third
4787
#20
128.20.2
122.5→122.7
Auto15.7
Teleop97.0
End18.1
red by 2.2
5934
#16
126.04.4
97.6→102.0
Auto16.8
Teleop95.5
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed