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Red525
6803173.3
269172.3
4213168.9
Blue260
4096146.3
2451193.5
5350109.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022910100200500600525260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#11
173.30.7
170.3171.0
Auto20.2
Teleop130.1
End21.5
blue by 20.2
2451
#10
193.51.2
193.3194.5
Auto20.5
Teleop151.7
End19.1
Second
269
#3
172.32.8
158.8161.6
Auto21.3
Teleop128.9
End22.3
red by 26.0
4096
#19
146.31.7
142.4144.1
Auto16.7
Teleop109.3
End17.8
Third
168.92.0
158.7160.6
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End24.6
red by 59.6
5350
#51
109.31.6
108.0106.4
Auto14.8
Teleop84.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed