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Qual 532018 Midwest Regional
Red501
3695173.1
2338178.0
3734112.3
Blue150
215180.6
7237101.1
16201.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3672700100200300400500600501150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#4
178.02.0
167.7→169.7
Auto25.3
Teleop122.7
End29.8
blue by 23.2
16
#1
201.22.7
191.7→194.3
Auto26.6
Teleop141.5
End32.1
Second
3695
#13
173.10.8
166.0→166.8
Auto20.5
Teleop126.4
End27.4
red by 72.0
7237
#41
101.13.1
100.1→103.2
Auto14.1
Teleop79.1
End12.0
Third
3734
#47
112.31.7
101.8→103.5
Auto13.7
Teleop88.9
End11.3
red by 31.8
2151
#54
80.64.3
96.7→92.4
Auto13.1
Teleop66.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed