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Qual 552018 Midwest Regional
Red319
1706173.5
4241125.8
3067105.2
Blue169
2040149.4
5013148.8
4292103.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302297100200400500319169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#7
173.52.5
159.7→162.2
Auto23.6
Teleop133.0
End16.3
red by 24.1
2040
#5
149.40.8
142.7→143.5
Auto20.3
Teleop111.5
End20.3
Second
4241
#12
125.80.8
123.6→124.4
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End13.8
blue by 23.0
5013
#14
148.81.0
148.0→149.0
Auto20.9
Teleop108.6
End18.7
Third
3067
#44
105.21.1
106.0→107.1
Auto14.5
Teleop83.9
End6.9
red by 1.3
4292
#48
103.81.4
109.8→108.5
Auto17.3
Teleop77.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed