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Qual 592018 Midwest Regional
Red353
3695173.1
5934126.0
4096146.3
Blue351
2704131.7
1781126.9
5442153.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384297100200500600700800353351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#13
173.11.5
166.8→168.3
Auto20.5
Teleop126.4
End27.4
red by 19.5
5442
#18
153.70.4
156.9→156.6
Auto21.1
Teleop107.7
End22.2
Second
4096
#19
146.30.9
144.1→145.0
Auto16.7
Teleop109.3
End17.8
red by 14.6
2704
#39
131.71.0
128.4→129.4
Auto13.6
Teleop98.0
End20.4
Third
5934
#16
126.04.1
109.4→113.6
Auto16.8
Teleop95.5
End15.7
blue by 0.8
1781
#40
126.90.4
125.6→125.2
Auto16.9
Teleop95.3
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed