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Qual 682018 Midwest Regional
Red342
1511161.9
4787128.2
6487122.0
Blue215
3488128.0
3110101.2
426997.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682010100300400500342215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#17
161.90.3
162.4→162.1
Auto26.7
Teleop114.0
End21.1
red by 34.0
3488
#25
128.00.5
128.0→127.5
Auto15.2
Teleop99.5
End16.9
Second
4787
#20
128.21.4
124.3→125.7
Auto15.7
Teleop97.0
End18.1
red by 27.0
3110
#46
101.21.0
97.2→98.1
Auto14.6
Teleop78.5
End11.9
Third
6487
#38
122.00.2
122.4→122.7
Auto16.9
Teleop91.3
End14.3
red by 24.9
4269
#50
97.10.9
97.5→96.6
Auto11.5
Teleop76.8
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed