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Qual 712018 Midwest Regional
Red191
6421126.2
3067105.2
341172.5
Blue313
4096146.3
2338178.0
7237101.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314318200250300350400191313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#8
172.51.5
170.7→172.2
Auto22.2
Teleop126.9
End25.9
blue by 5.6
2338
#4
178.02.7
172.1→174.8
Auto25.3
Teleop122.7
End29.8
Second
6421
#35
126.21.2
129.5→128.3
Auto17.4
Teleop97.0
End11.3
blue by 20.1
4096
#19
146.30.6
145.0→145.5
Auto16.7
Teleop109.3
End17.8
Third
3067
#44
105.21.3
107.1→108.4
Auto14.5
Teleop83.9
End6.9
red by 4.0
7237
#41
101.11.4
102.5→101.0
Auto14.1
Teleop79.1
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed