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Qual 732018 Midwest Regional
Red193
1511161.9
2709114.2
3352100.5
Blue385
16201.2
5350109.3
5013148.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2234110100300500600193385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#17
161.90.2
162.1→161.9
Auto26.7
Teleop114.0
End21.1
blue by 39.2
16
#1
201.21.1
196.5→197.6
Auto26.6
Teleop141.5
End32.1
Second
2709
#53
114.20.4
114.0→114.4
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End12.1
blue by 34.6
5013
#14
148.80.5
149.3→148.8
Auto20.9
Teleop108.6
End18.7
Third
3352
#45
100.50.6
99.6→100.3
Auto16.0
Teleop76.3
End9.4
blue by 8.7
5350
#51
109.32.9
104.5→107.4
Auto14.8
Teleop84.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed