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Qual 842018 Midwest Regional
Red141
6991130.1
5041111.9
2039111.9
Blue508
578162.5
2136103.6
2451193.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1924040100300500600700141508

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6991
#22
130.10.9
129.2→130.1
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
blue by 63.4
2451
#10
193.50.8
195.4→194.6
Auto20.5
Teleop151.7
End19.1
Second
2039
#36
111.90.9
112.8→111.9
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End11.8
blue by 50.6
578
#2
162.51.4
157.5→158.9
Auto19.8
Teleop122.6
End19.4
Third
5041
#42
111.91.5
110.4→111.9
Auto15.9
Teleop83.9
End14.1
red by 8.2
2136
#23
103.61.6
102.1→103.6
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed