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Red335
1736167.1
4143158.1
4356128.2
Blue267
4655155.6
5822129.4
1329130.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386291100200500600335267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#13
167.10.8
164.2165.0
Auto25.3
Teleop120.6
End22.4
red by 11.5
4655
#14
155.60.0
155.6155.6
Auto20.0
Teleop116.2
End18.4
Second
158.10.0
158.0158.0
Auto22.2
Teleop122.5
End12.0
red by 27.9
1329
#28
130.20.2
130.0130.2
Auto17.6
Teleop98.2
End15.8
Third
4356
#17
128.20.3
127.2127.5
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1
blue by 1.3
5822
#10
129.40.3
129.1129.4
Auto19.7
Teleop99.6
End10.6