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Red191
6874126.5
4314122.8
3352115.6
Blue340
4787120.7
2169138.6
4143158.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253440100300400500600191340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6874
#26
126.548.8
126.577.7
Auto15.0
Teleop99.4
End13.0
blue by 31.6
158.11.1
148.7149.8
Auto22.2
Teleop122.5
End12.0
Second
4314
#20
122.817.7
59.276.9
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
blue by 15.8
2169
#15
138.613.0
101.8114.9
Auto17.4
Teleop108.2
End14.5
Third
3352
#37
115.615.5
79.194.6
Auto15.1
Teleop88.9
End10.9
blue by 5.1
4787
#22
120.717.1
64.781.8
Auto15.1
Teleop92.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed