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Red359
4096140.4
2358131.0
1329130.2
Blue306
4314122.8
4296123.0
2220150.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319297200250350400450359306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#25
140.43.4
127.2130.7
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
blue by 10.2
150.60.5
146.7147.1
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
Second
2358
#27
131.03.8
118.8122.6
Auto17.8
Teleop98.3
End12.0
red by 8.0
4296
#31
123.00.4
116.2116.6
Auto17.1
Teleop90.9
End17.8
Third
1329
#28
130.20.9
125.3126.1
Auto17.6
Teleop98.2
End15.8
red by 7.4
4314
#20
122.82.7
106.5109.1
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed