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Red186
4256128.3
5847131.7
4241124.9
Blue415
3695161.3
2826159.9
4143158.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247385100200300500600186415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#11
131.71.8
126.9128.8
Auto19.0
Teleop104.4
End5.0
blue by 29.6
161.32.4
136.0138.4
Auto17.0
Teleop118.8
End25.8
Second
4256
#23
128.30.6
121.4121.9
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End14.2
blue by 31.6
159.95.5
144.7150.3
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
Third
4241
#30
124.91.1
128.6129.7
Auto14.7
Teleop98.0
End11.5
blue by 33.2
158.10.6
154.7154.1
Auto22.2
Teleop122.5
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned