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Qual 442018 Central Illinois Regional
Red314
4764103.2
4314122.8
2081156.1
Blue123
6651113.3
2826159.9
4330126.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463540100200300400500314123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#7
156.10.7
149.8→150.5
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
blue by 3.8
2826
#6
159.95.3
150.3→155.6
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
Second
4314
#20
122.82.7
109.1→111.9
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
blue by 3.4
4330
#19
126.11.3
123.3→124.6
Auto17.8
Teleop89.2
End20.8
Third
4764
#32
103.22.3
108.9→106.6
Auto15.1
Teleop80.8
End4.3
blue by 10.1
6651
#24
113.31.4
122.3→121.0
Auto15.4
Teleop90.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed