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Red377
4256128.3
2169138.6
4356128.2
Blue181
4096140.4
2040139.1
464590.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923260100200400500600700377181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#15
138.64.0
142.9138.9
Auto17.4
Teleop108.2
End14.5
blue by 1.9
4096
#25
140.44.8
130.7135.5
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
Second
4256
#23
128.30.1
121.9121.8
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End14.2
blue by 10.9
2040
#18
139.12.1
140.8143.0
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End18.6
Third
4356
#17
128.20.4
123.4123.9
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1
red by 37.6
4645
#35
90.51.1
101.0100.0
Auto11.8
Teleop73.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed