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Qual 492018 Central Illinois Regional
Red323
4296123.0
5442156.6
648138.0
Blue468
3695161.3
4655155.6
4787120.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317329100200400500600323468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#5
156.63.0
147.5→150.5
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End24.6
blue by 4.7
3695
#2
161.33.4
138.4→141.7
Auto17.0
Teleop118.8
End25.8
Second
648
#16
138.02.4
136.6→139.0
Auto16.4
Teleop107.8
End13.9
blue by 17.6
4655
#14
155.63.8
142.4→146.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.2
End18.4
Third
4296
#31
123.01.3
116.6→117.9
Auto17.1
Teleop90.9
End17.8
red by 2.3
4787
#22
120.72.7
115.3→118.0
Auto15.1
Teleop92.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned