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Red270
4156106.7
4213148.4
6237130.3
Blue339
4314122.8
2169138.6
5847131.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288318150200250350400450500270339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#12
148.40.6
142.6143.2
Auto19.7
Teleop108.5
End23.4
red by 9.9
2169
#15
138.60.2
138.9138.7
Auto17.4
Teleop108.2
End14.5
Second
6237
#29
130.31.2
126.0127.2
Auto14.8
Teleop104.4
End12.9
blue by 1.4
5847
#11
131.71.2
128.4129.6
Auto19.0
Teleop104.4
End5.0
Third
4156
#34
106.72.0
102.7104.6
Auto14.8
Teleop76.4
End17.6
blue by 16.0
4314
#20
122.82.7
111.9114.6
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed