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Red273
4241124.9
4314122.8
4096140.4
Blue436
1736167.1
8186.3
2040139.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326301150200250350400450500273436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#25
140.40.7
140.1140.7
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
blue by 26.7
1736
#13
167.12.2
161.2163.4
Auto25.3
Teleop120.6
End22.4
Second
4241
#30
124.90.4
125.3124.9
Auto14.7
Teleop98.0
End11.5
blue by 14.2
2040
#18
139.10.2
138.7138.6
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End18.6
Third
4314
#20
122.83.0
119.7122.8
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
red by 36.5
81
#36
86.31.6
87.886.3
Auto11.5
Teleop70.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed