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Red205
3352115.6
4655155.6
5847131.7
Blue325
1329130.2
2220150.6
4356128.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3253120100200400500600700205325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#14
155.61.0
154.7155.7
Auto20.0
Teleop116.2
End18.4
red by 4.9
150.60.4
150.0150.4
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
Second
5847
#11
131.70.1
132.4132.3
Auto19.0
Teleop104.4
End5.0
red by 1.6
1329
#28
130.20.3
129.5129.9
Auto17.6
Teleop98.2
End15.8
Third
3352
#37
115.60.8
116.5115.6
Auto15.1
Teleop88.9
End10.9
blue by 12.5
4356
#17
128.21.0
125.9126.9
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed