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Semifinal 1-12018 Central Illinois Regional
Red429
2481198.7
1756178.7
464590.5
Blue152
2338164.9
2081156.1
2704122.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371288200400500600429152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#3
198.70.2
197.5→197.8
Auto23.9
Teleop153.9
End20.4
red by 33.7
2338
#9
164.90.1
165.2→165.1
Auto22.4
Teleop117.2
End24.4
Second
1756
#1
178.70.5
176.6→177.1
Auto24.6
Teleop122.8
End32.3
red by 22.6
2081
#7
156.10.2
155.8→156.0
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Third
4645
#35
90.50.4
91.7→91.3
Auto11.8
Teleop73.5
End5.2
blue by 32.0
2704
#33
122.50.5
121.6→122.1
Auto12.7
Teleop90.1
End21.8