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Red201
2451182.3
4655172.7
8186.1
Blue412
5934129.7
111156.3
1792159.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320319200250300350400201412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.30.3
182.1182.3
Auto19.9
Teleop139.0
End23.8
red by 22.6
1792
#15
159.80.1
159.6159.8
Auto23.1
Teleop120.7
End15.4
Second
172.70.3
172.4172.7
Auto20.9
Teleop132.3
End19.3
red by 16.4
111
#17
156.30.3
156.0156.3
Auto18.8
Teleop121.4
End16.1
Third
81
#29
86.10.0
86.086.1
Auto11.4
Teleop68.2
End7.1
blue by 43.6
129.70.4
129.4129.7
Auto17.9
Teleop98.9
End12.6