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Qual 122018 Rock River Offseason Competition
Red282
111156.3
2081143.5
5442149.8
Blue306
4292102.6
335299.3
4272175.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622520100200300400500600700282306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#17
156.31.0
157.9→156.9
Auto18.8
Teleop121.4
End16.1
blue by 18.9
4272
#2
175.30.7
173.7→174.4
Auto22.0
Teleop128.8
End24.6
Second
5442
#7
149.81.0
151.7→150.7
Auto20.6
Teleop106.6
End22.6
red by 47.2
4292
#11
102.60.5
104.3→103.8
Auto19.6
Teleop76.8
End3.8
Third
2081
#23
143.51.2
148.2→147.0
Auto17.8
Teleop109.9
End18.6
red by 44.2
3352
#26
99.30.1
102.0→102.0
Auto16.0
Teleop76.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed