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Red364
17199.7
4213171.6
4296146.3
Blue157
930158.7
2039100.4
2202164.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883690100200500600700800364157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#24
171.60.5
170.1170.6
Auto22.2
Teleop125.6
End20.3
red by 7.5
2202
#30
164.10.2
171.9172.1
Auto19.5
Teleop115.6
End26.0
Second
146.30.5
142.2142.6
Auto18.1
Teleop108.1
End19.4
blue by 12.4
930
#19
158.70.1
162.6162.7
Auto19.7
Teleop120.5
End16.4
Third
171
#18
99.70.7
101.3100.5
Auto15.4
Teleop73.7
End9.3
blue by 0.7
2039
#32
100.41.7
109.0107.3
Auto15.8
Teleop77.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed