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Red253
8186.1
1646127.1
6419116.6
Blue290
1792159.8
4292102.6
17199.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24330704006008001,0001,2001,400253290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#21
127.10.6
126.6127.2
Auto19.1
Teleop90.7
End17.9
blue by 32.6
1792
#15
159.80.7
162.6161.9
Auto23.1
Teleop120.7
End15.4
Second
6419
#10
116.60.4
113.6114.0
Auto15.9
Teleop91.0
End9.3
red by 14.0
4292
#11
102.60.4
103.8103.4
Auto19.6
Teleop76.8
End3.8
Third
81
#29
86.10.0
86.086.0
Auto11.4
Teleop68.2
End7.1
blue by 13.7
171
#18
99.70.1
100.5100.4
Auto15.4
Teleop73.7
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed