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Red236
1732153.1
8186.1
4213171.6
Blue392
2194172.8
1736187.5
4296146.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2674130100200300500600700236392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#24
171.61.0
170.6171.6
Auto22.2
Teleop125.6
End20.3
blue by 15.9
187.50.5
185.2185.7
Auto23.7
Teleop139.1
End24.3
Second
153.11.9
157.0155.1
Auto23.4
Teleop117.7
End9.3
blue by 19.7
2194
#14
172.81.4
178.5177.2
Auto23.2
Teleop126.2
End20.5
Third
81
#29
86.10.4
86.086.5
Auto11.4
Teleop68.2
End7.1
blue by 60.2
146.30.9
142.6143.6
Auto18.1
Teleop108.1
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned