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Red204
461148.6
4655172.7
17199.7
Blue356
5934129.7
1736187.5
5442149.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3013680200600800204356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.70.6
173.4172.8
Auto20.9
Teleop132.3
End19.3
blue by 14.8
187.50.8
185.7186.5
Auto23.7
Teleop139.1
End24.3
Second
461
#5
148.60.8
146.9147.7
Auto18.7
Teleop112.2
End17.1
blue by 1.2
149.80.4
149.8149.4
Auto20.6
Teleop106.6
End22.6
Third
171
#18
99.70.1
100.4100.5
Auto15.4
Teleop73.7
End9.3
blue by 30.0
129.70.2
128.0127.8
Auto17.9
Teleop98.9
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsEarned