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Red388
2451182.3
167158.2
6237141.6
Blue195
2202164.1
111156.3
8186.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3902470100200300500600388195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.30.4
185.8185.4
Auto19.9
Teleop139.0
End23.8
red by 18.2
2202
#30
164.10.2
171.7171.9
Auto19.5
Teleop115.6
End26.0
Second
167
#27
158.21.1
169.6168.6
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End6.1
red by 1.9
111
#17
156.31.3
159.2157.9
Auto18.8
Teleop121.4
End16.1
Third
6237
#22
141.60.9
149.4148.5
Auto15.7
Teleop104.1
End18.8
red by 55.5
81
#29
86.10.2
86.286.0
Auto11.4
Teleop68.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned