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Red262
4655172.7
5442149.8
335299.3
Blue294
1732153.1
4296146.3
1646127.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358316100200400500600262294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.70.1
173.5173.6
Auto20.9
Teleop132.3
End19.3
red by 19.6
153.10.9
158.7157.8
Auto23.4
Teleop117.7
End9.3
Second
149.80.6
152.3151.7
Auto20.6
Teleop106.6
End22.6
red by 3.6
146.30.7
141.5142.2
Auto18.1
Teleop108.1
End19.4
Third
3352
#26
99.30.6
101.5102.0
Auto16.0
Teleop76.5
End4.1
blue by 27.8
1646
#21
127.10.8
125.8126.6
Auto19.1
Teleop90.7
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed