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Red257
868193.0
1747204.2
5069116.4
Blue422
234202.9
2338177.7
292137.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39233205001,0001,5002,000257422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.20.5
203.8204.2
Auto24.8
Teleop152.1
End26.9
red by 1.3
234
#4
202.90.3
202.6202.9
Auto28.4
Teleop140.7
End33.7
Second
868
#2
193.00.1
192.9193.0
Auto22.4
Teleop147.1
End20.7
red by 15.3
177.70.4
177.3177.7
Auto24.7
Teleop126.3
End24.7
Third
5069
#28
116.40.0
116.3116.4
Auto16.9
Teleop82.9
End16.1
blue by 20.7
292
#20
137.10.1
137.2137.1
Auto20.0
Teleop100.7
End16.0